US crude oil inventories (national, ex-SPR)
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-062") vADW-062-live-1.0 How tight are US petroleum stocks?
US crude oil inventories (national, ex-SPR)
Top drivers
⌁ mcp.call("adw-062") vADW-062-live-1.0 A commodity trading agent polls ADW-062 weekly; when the EIA petroleum stocks z-score hits 100 (current: 100.0, 100th percentile — maximum tightness in the 148-week backtest history since September 2023) with a rising trend, the agent flags upstream crude long positions for hold and queues a review of any short-dated refinery supply contracts, citing source_lineage (EIA weekly petroleum status report) in the trade rationale. The 100th-percentile score means physical inventories are tighter than any prior week in the tracked history, giving the agent a concrete threshold to escalate to a human trader rather than relying on oil-price moves alone, which are coincident.
An energy supply-chain lead at a large airline or industrial manufacturer uses ADW-062 to time jet-fuel and feedstock forward purchases. A score of 100 — maximum tightness ever recorded in the tracked EIA series — signals that spot price spikes are likely imminent as refiners draw on already-depleted buffers. Versus the status quo of watching WTI spot prices (which reflect tightness only after it has occurred), the inventory-tightness score provides a structural leading indicator, allowing the procurement team to buy forwards before the spot curve fully reprices.
composite z-score 0-100
Version ADW-062-live-1.0 · validated to beat a naive baseline · benchmark: n/a